Introduction and Trading Strategies to the Forex Market

April 22, 2008

The currency market could be a good investment for your money. First of all, the forex market is open 24 hours a day, except for the weekends. Another factor is the large trading volumes and the large number of investors in this market make it very liquid. A intelligent investor can make good profits that are available in the foreign exchange market. With a bit of experience and some good knowledge, you too can be a profitable investor.

There are mainly two trading strategies in the foreign exchange market, that is, fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Let us have a meticulous look in each of the strategies.

Fundamental analysis, as the name says, deals with the social and political factors, government policies, GDP reports, employment, various industries, the business cycle and the economic indicators. Using the above data, the analyst can predict the future of the currency. The stronger the above mentioned factors of the country, the better future its currency has. This method is the prominent amongst the long term traders. However, it is quite difficult to predict the market during silent activity when analyzing fundamentally. This particular trading strategy is itself divided into two minor strategies, i.e., capital flows and trade flows.

Capital flows is the flow of money through foreign direct investments, joint ventures,and third party licensing agreements that reflect the economic growth and financial stability of a country. Equity market investments, and fixed income market investments are common portfolio investments. Trade Flows is the international imports and exports carried out between different countries. It plays an important role in forex market as the importer needs to sell his currency in order to purchase the goods from the other country. It can be a great example of currency exchange and probably is the best way to predict the currency’s future. Global news and happenings as well as a country’s specific happenings also affect the forex market. So it is always good as a fundamental trader to keep a track of the world news and country’s relations when investing in its currency.

Technical Analysis is another trading strategy used in the forex market. This analysis predicts the future movements of the currency by having a look at its past performance. A technical trader studies past graphs showing the up and down movements of the currency.

Tools used by a fundamental investor are: Relative Strength Index (RSI):This is a ratio of up and down movements of a currency and equates on a scale of 0-100. A second tool is Fibonacci numbers theory: The Fibonacci number sequence (1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34…) is used by adding the first two numbers to arrive at the third. As a forex trader, one may use them to calculate profit targets and price retracement levels. The last tool is Elliot Wave Theory: It shows wave patterns and fibonacci number sequence. Ideal Elliot wave pattern shows a five-way forward advance followed by a three way recline.

We have looked at two trading strategies used in trading in the forex market. Each has its good and bad points so it’s up to you to chose which one you wish to trade with. Trading strategies harm only when you apply them without the sufficient knowledge.

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